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Hybridge's Approach to Managing Your Money
Stay invested and avoid market timing
History tells us that a diversified portfolio of high quality equities has produced long-term annual average returns of 8%-10%. Investors achieved this by being fully invested in both up markets and down markets. As enticing as it may seem to try and beat this return by attempting to time the market–being in the market when it’s going up, and out when it’s dropping-the overwhelming body of evidence points to its ineffectiveness as the odds of being wrong are too high.
Over the past century stocks have gone up about 70% of the time, which means if you are out of the market, you are likely to be wrong seven out of ten times. Much better to stay in the market as you will be right 70% of the time, thus capturing all of the long-term appreciation.
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